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Posts Tagged ‘Technology

Gartner’s 2010 Hype Cycle Special Report Evaluates Maturity of 1,800 Technologies

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Gartner’s latest tech review:

Hype Cycle Research Provides a Cross-Industry Perspective on Potentially Transformative Technologies

STAMFORD, Conn., October 7, 2010 — 

Media tablets, private cloud computing, and 3D flat-panel TVs and displays are some of the technologies that have moved into the Peak of Inflated Expectations, according to the 2010 Emerging Technologies Hype Cycle by Gartner, Inc.

Gartner has examined the maturity of 1,800 technologies and trends in 75 technology, topic, and industry areas. Each of the 75 individual Hype Cycle reports provides a snapshot of a key area of IT or business. Senior executives, CIOs, strategists, business developers and technology planners should consider these technologies when developing emerging business and technology portfolios. The “Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies” is the longest-running annual Hype Cycle, providing a cross-industry perspective on the technologies and trends that IT managers should consider in developing emerging-technology portfolios (see Figure 1).

“The Hype Cycle for Emerging Technologies features technologies that are the focus of attention in the IT industry because of particularly high levels of hype, or those that may not be broadly acknowledged but which we believe have the potential for significant impact,” said Jackie Fenn, vice president and Gartner Fellow.

“High-impact technologies at the Peak of Inflated Expectations during 2010 includeprivate cloud computing, augmented reality, media tablets (such as the iPad), wireless power, 3D flat-panel TVs and displays, and activity streams, while cloud computing and cloud/Web platforms have tipped over the peak and will soon experience disillusionment among enterprise users,” Ms. Fenn said.

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2010/10/08 at 23:08

The Global Superorganism or One Machine

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Transistors from Computer cards as used in the...
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Here are the illuminating thoughts of Kevin Kelly on this global factoid:

What are the dimensions of this global Machine?

Barilan Internet-Thumb

Today it contains approximately 1.2 billion personal computers,  2.7 billion cell phones, 1.3 billion land phones, 27 million data servers, and 80 million wireless PDAs. The processor chips of all these parts are feeding the computation of the internet/web/telecommunications system. So how many transistors are powering the Machine?

An Intel Pentium processor circa 2004 has 100 million transistors in it, while a Itanium processor inside a server has over 1 billion processors since 2005. More current models have more transistors of course, but these older models would be closer to an average count.

One thing to note is that there are just as many processing chips in the Machine (one billion from the one billion online PCs) as there transitors in an Itanium chip. The Machine is a super computer where each “transistor” is computer.  A very rough estimate of the computing power of this Machine then is that it contains a billion times a billion, or one quintillion (10 ^ 18) transistors. Since only the newest servers have a billion processors, the figure is probably an order of magnitude smaller. When we add the transistors for cell phones, handhelds, it calculates out to about 170 quadrillion (10^17) transistors wired into the Machine

There are about 100 billion neurons in the human brain. Today the Machine has as 5 orders more transistors than you have neurons in your head. And the Machine, unlike your brain, is doubling in power every couple of years at the minimum.

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2010/10/06 at 18:49

David Pogue, he of NY Times tech fame

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Did a review of a book about Facebook. Here’s a quote:

But according to David Kirkpatrick, who for many years was a technology editor at Fortune, Facebook is more than big. It’s a “platform for people to get more out of their lives,” a “technological powerhouse with unprecedented influence across modern life” and an “entirely new form of communication.”

This has abosolutely nothing to do with the Facebook I know and use. Who is David K? Where the hell does he live on the Web? Sounds like investor fantasy to me!!!! I still exchange emails with most intelligent people that I know. But I guess that’s me and I’m not what Facebook is about!!!

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2010/07/04 at 02:26

My low opinion of Rogers apparently confirmed by Canadian court

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Telus Workers Rally: Local support
Image by Grant Neufeld via Flickr

Rogers told to ditch ‘most reliable network’ claim

A Telus store in Toronto's Eaton's Centre

 

A Telus store in Toronto’s Eaton’s Centre JENNIFER ROBERTS/THE GLOBE AND M

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Wireless rival Telus ‘pleased’ after winning injunction on Rogers advertising claims in B.C. court

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For me this news feels like “the pot calling the kettle black”. I’ve been told by Bell sales people that Bell and Telus share a new network in Canada, while Rogers uses much older technology, like GSM et al. But I’ve always had a low opinion of Telus after dumping their DSL service 4 years ago in Vancouver. So I don’t feel so impressed that Telus sued to get an injunction to stop Rogers’ claims about its network “being the best”.

Since the Berkman Institute recently published a report about worldwide national telecom systems in which Canada ranked 37th re cost, bandwidth offerings et al, I feel that Telus, Bell et al need to make major revisions to pricing and bandwidth offerings. That goes in spades for my current phone and ISP, Shaw.

Guys, get your own act together before attacking your nearest competitor!

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2009/11/25 at 06:21

David Brooks comments skillfully again about an impact of technology

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Old New York Times tower
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Here is the latest excerpt from this morning’s NY Times column:

But texting and the utilitarian mind-set are naturally corrosive toward poetry and imagination. A coat of ironic detachment is required for anyone who hopes to withstand the brutal feedback of the marketplace. In today’s world, the choice of a Prius can be a more sanctified act that the choice of an erotic partner.

This does not mean that young people today are worse or shallower than young people in the past. It does mean they get less help. People once lived within a pattern of being, which educated the emotions, guided the temporary toward the permanent and linked everyday urges to higher things. The accumulated wisdom of the community steered couples as they tried to earn each other’s commitment.

Today there are fewer norms that guide in that way. Today’s technology seems to threaten the sort of recurring and stable reciprocity that is the building block of trust.

Ahhhhh, TRUST! Easiest to lose and hardest to rebuild!

 

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2009/11/03 at 07:11

A very public stumble in India’s Space Program

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The North Block, in New Delhi, houses key gove...
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There is no denying that India is doing every thing it can to match China’s progress on the world stage including in Space. But India seems to have more than one problem in its Space Venture. Check this out.

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2009/08/30 at 05:44

An image of cosmic chaos in space

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Here’s how the NASA experts explain this image:

Chaos at the Heart of Orion
NASA’s Spitzer and Hubble Space Telescopes teamed up to expose the chaos that baby stars are creating 1,500 light years away in a cosmic cloud called the Orion nebula. This striking composite indicates that four monstrously massive stars, collectively called the “Trapezium,” at the center of the cloud may be the main culprits in the Orion constellation, a familiar sight in the fall and winter night sky in the northern hemisphere. Their community can be identified as the yellow smudge near the center of the image.

I am always dazzled by these images. Mostly what tickles my imagination is the science, technology and engineering that supports the delivery of this image to my humble iMac. I can’t help remember my first contacts with computers, IBM 650, 1401 and 1410. I was hands on in those early IT days. But at no time could I imagine what I experience now with my 20″ monitor, full color, the Internet and organizations like NASA that make my computer experience just that much better.

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Written by BobG in Dalian & Vancouver

2009/08/09 at 13:34